1.I-Market Overview: Ngomhla we-26 kaMeyi, izinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-USD ngokumelene ne-RMB lawela ngaphantsi komlinganiselo ojikelezayo we-6.40, kunye ne-transaction ephantsi ibe yi-6.3871.Uxabiso lwe-RMB ngokuchasene ne-USD lubethe phezulu ukusuka kwingxabano yorhwebo phakathi kweTshayina ne-US ekuqaleni kukaMeyi ka-2018.
2. Izizathu ezingundoqo: Izizathu ezingundoqo zokungena kwakhona kwe-RMB kumzila wokuxabisa ukususela ngo-Epreli zivela kwezi nkalo zilandelayo, ezibonisa ubudlelwane obujikelezayo kunye nokuhanjiswa okusengqiqweni:
(1) Izinto ezisisiseko ze-RMB eyomeleleyo azitshintshanga ngokusisiseko: ukunyuka kwengeniso yotyalo-mali kunye nediphozithi yedola yase-US ebangelwa yiyantlukwano yenzala ye-Sino-yangaphandle kunye nokuvulwa kwemali, intsalela engaphezulu ebangelwa yimpembelelo yokuthumela ngaphandle, kunye nokunyanzeliswa okubalulekileyo. iingxabano zaseSino-US;
(2) Idola yangaphandle iyaqhubeka iyancipha: ukususela ekuqaleni kuka-Epreli, i-index index ye-dollar iwile nge-3.8% ukusuka kwi-93.23 ukuya kwi-89.70 ngenxa yokuhlaziywa kwangaphambili kunye nokupholisa umxholo wezinga lenzala elide.Phantsi kwendlela yokulinganisa esembindini yangoku, iRMB iye yaxabisa malunga ne-2.7% xa ithelekiswa nedola yaseMelika.
(3) Ubonelelo kunye nemfuno yokuhlaliswa kunye nentengiso yotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle luthande ukuba lulungelelene: intsalela yokuhlaliswa kunye nentengiso yonaniso lwangaphandle ngo-Epreli yathotywa yaya kutsho kwi-2.2 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zaseMelika, kwaye intsalela yezivumelwano eziphuma kwikhontrakthi nayo yehle ngokuphawulekayo xa ithelekiswa neyangaphambili. ixesha.Njengoko imakethi ingena kwixesha lokuthengwa kwesahlulo kunye nokuthengwa kwamanye amazwe, ukubonelela ngokubanzi kunye nemfuno ithande ukulingana, okwenza ireyithi ye-RMB ivakale ngakumbi kwixabiso ledola yaseMelika kunye nolindelo oluncinci lwemarike kweli nqanaba.
(4) Ukulungelelaniswa phakathi kwe-USD, i-RMB kunye ne-USD index kuye kwanda kakhulu, kodwa ukuguquguquka kuye kwancipha kakhulu: ukulungelelaniswa okuhle phakathi kwe-USD kunye ne-USD index yi-0.96 ukususela ngo-Apreli ukuya kuMeyi, ngaphezu kwe-0.27 ngoJanuwari.Okwangoku, ukuguquguquka okubonakalayo kwexabiso lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB kwi-onshore ngoJanuwari limalunga ne-4.28% (i-30-day leveling), kwaye yi-2.67% kuphela ukususela ngo-Aprili 1. Le nto ibonisa ukuba imarike ilandela ngokukhawuleza ifom ye-dollar yase-US, kwaye ukulindela kwepleyiti yabathengi ngokuthe ngcembe kuya kuzinza, ukulungiswa okuphezulu kotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle, ukuthengwa okuphantsi kotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle, ukunciphisa ukuguquguquka kweemarike;
(5) Kulo mxholo, ukuhla kwamva nje kwe-0.7% kwiveki xa idola yase-US yaphuka i-90, iidiphozithi zasekhaya zangaphandle zaphula i-yuan yetriliyoni enye, i-capitalbound ye-Northbound yanda ngamashumi eebhiliyoni ze-yuan, kwaye ukulindela ukuxabisa kwe-RMB kwavela kwakhona. .Kwimarike elinganiselayo, i-RMB yaphakama ngokukhawuleza ngaphezu kwe-6.4.
3. Inqanaba Elilandelayo: Kude kubekho ukuphindaphindwa kwedola, sikholelwa ukuba inkqubo yangoku yoxabiso iya kuqhubeka.Xa ulindelo lwabathengi lungacacanga kwaye lulawulwa ziimvakalelo zabo kunye neenzuzo kunye nelahleko yobalo-mali yenkampani, badla ngokubonisa umkhwa ofana nokulungiswa ngocwangco kutshintshiselwano kunye noxabiso olungahambi kakuhle ngoJanuwari kulo nyaka.Okwangoku, akukho ntengiso ebonakalayo ezimeleyo ye-RMB, kwaye phantsi koxinzelelo oluqhubekayo lwe-dollar yase-US, ukulindela ukuxabisa kucacile ngakumbi.
Ixesha lokuthumela: 27-05-21